This article analyzes the current state of U.S.-Pakistan security cooperation, noting recent actions that led to the apprehension of an ISIS-K figure, yet predicting limited future collaboration due to differing threat perceptions and a focus on relations with India.
The recent discussion surrounding United States and Pakistan security cooperation remains cautious, despite U.S. President Donald Trump’s acknowledgment of Pakistan’s assistance in apprehending a key ISIS-K figure, Mohammad Sharifullah. This collaboration, facilitated by sharing intelligence on Sharifullah’s whereabouts, culminated in his extradition to the United States. Although Pakistani leaders have expressed a desire for enhanced security cooperation, expectations for broader partnership should remain tempered.
The intensity of terrorist threats in Pakistan persists, as evidenced by a recent train hijacking by the Balochistan Liberation Army (BLA), which underscored the nation’s ongoing security challenges. Since the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, there has been a freeze on most security assistance to Pakistan, resulting in limited bilateral cooperation. Furthermore, while both countries share concerns about ISIS-K, their differing focus on local threats complicates prospects for enhanced collaboration.
In addition, U.S. security priorities appear to be shifting toward partnerships outside the region to address ISIS-K’s expanding influence. Although there remains potential for counterterrorism dialogue, the U.S. administration is likely to prioritize cooperation based on specific incidents rather than a comprehensive agreement. Meanwhile, Pakistani officials assert their commitment to working alongside the U.S. in countering terrorism, although developments suggest a cautious path forward.
Concurrently, U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance is scheduled for his second international trip to India, reflecting the importance of U.S.-India trade relations following recent negotiations. In Sri Lanka, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake met virtually with the IMF chief, emphasizing the government’s focus on economic recovery post-crisis. In Nepal, a resurgence of pro-monarchy sentiment has been observed, posing potential ramifications for the nation’s political landscape.
In conclusion, although the United States and Pakistan have engaged in a successful operation together, the outlook for deeper security cooperation remains bleak due to differing priorities and historical context. Pakistani officials have expressed optimism, but logistical and strategic barriers hinder any significant shift. As the U.S. strengthens ties with India and seeks collaborations elsewhere, both nations must navigate their conflicting interests while addressing pressing counterterrorism challenges.
Original Source: foreignpolicy.com
