Turkey is positioning itself to capitalize on France’s military withdrawal from Africa, aiming to expand its influence in the region. It benefits from strategic partnerships, particularly in arms sales, though experts caution against overstretching its resources. Amid shifting geopolitical dynamics, Turkey must navigate competition and foster cooperative relationships with African states to maintain sustainability.
France’s recent military withdrawals from the Sahel and West Africa have created an opportunity for Turkey to establish a stronger presence in the region, as outlined by experts. Turkey benefits from its position as a NATO member and an established arms exporter, though caution is advised to prevent resource overstretch.
The reduction of French military involvement, including the departure from its last base in Côte d’Ivoire and the recent pullout from Chad, reflects a shift in engagement levels. Federico Donelli, an international relations expert at Trieste University, notes that traditional players like France are decreasing their involvement, not due to constraints but because local authorities are expressing a desire for their exit.
This situation opens doors for Turkey, which has significantly increased its embassy presence in Africa under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Additionally, Erdogan emphasizes Islamic solidarity and contrasts Turkey’s role with France’s colonial history, utilizing this to appeal to African nations.
However, Elem Tepecikoglu from Ankara’s Social Sciences University asserts that Turkey’s advantage stems from France’s inability to confront insurgent threats in the Sahel. French military missions have been criticized for failing to combat terrorism effectively, leading to a tarnished image in the region. Tepecikoglu observes that rising anti-French sentiments create openings for nations like Turkey, which has engaged in defense agreements and may have military advisors in Chad.
Recent military diplomacy between Turkey and Senegal further illustrates this shift, as Senegal has even called for the withdrawal of French forces. Turkey’s arms industry, providing competitively priced defense products, enhances its diplomatic outreach. Notably, multiple Sahelian countries have incorporated Turkish drones and equipment into their military arsenals, adding to Turkey’s growing foothold.
Despite being a relatively smaller player compared to powers like Russia, China, and the United States, Turkey may benefit from the rivalry among these nations. Establishing security agreements with Turkey is seen as less politically costly for African states compared to relationships with Russia, due to Turkey’s NATO affiliation.
Nevertheless, Turkey’s aggressive expansion into Africa poses risks of overstretch. Experts warn that diplomatic representation and military presence across the continent are not economically sustainable under current Turkish economic conditions, especially as Erdogan seeks stronger ties with Europe, including France, potentially favoring collaboration over competition in the future.
In conclusion, Turkey’s strategic positioning following France’s military withdrawals in Africa presents both opportunities and challenges. While Turkey seeks to enhance its influence through military and diplomatic efforts, concerns regarding resource overstretch and economic sustainability persist. The evolving geopolitical landscape suggests Turkey may need to adjust its strategies in light of its expanding commitments. The balance of cooperation and rivalry will play a significant role in shaping Turkey’s future relations in the region, especially as it navigates connections with key African states amidst competition from other global powers.
Original Source: www.rfi.fr
