Hezbollah is apprehensive about discussions of normalization between Israel and Lebanon, with Lebanese officials firmly asserting that such talks are unacceptable. Current political dynamics appear to favor Israel, yet Hezbollah maintains significant strategic options. Lebanon aims to align with unified Arab interests, particularly those of Saudi Arabia, stressing that normalization is contingent on a two-state solution that Israel is not currently willing to accept.
The balance of power within Lebanon has shifted, raising concerns among Hezbollah regarding discussions about potential normalization with Israel. Political sources from Lebanon indicated that directives from “the presidential office and the government” have made it clear that any normalization discussions are entirely unacceptable. The concerns stem from the Israeli Defense Forces managing five positions in southern Lebanon and perceived violations of the ceasefire agreement.
Officially, Lebanon has refuted claims that indirect negotiations between itself and Israel are geared towards normalization, clarifying that the talks are confined to border disputes, excluding the Mount Dov area. Yet, the very existence of these discussions has stirred unease among Hezbollah and its ally, the Amal Movement.
Political figures in Beirut have affirmed, “Lebanon’s position is decisive and enjoys a broad consensus; normalization cannot be forced upon Lebanon.” However, they also recognized that while the current equilibrium may favor Israel, this state of affairs is not permanent. They pointed out that the pro-Iranian axis, including Hezbollah, has “many cards” still to play.
Lebanese sources further elaborated, stating, “Despite ongoing efforts, the US administration fully understands that Lebanon cannot follow the path of normalization.” Lebanon is likely to continue aligning with a unified Arab stance, particularly that of Saudi Arabia, which ties any negotiations to a two-state resolution—an outcome currently deemed improbable by Israel.
In light of these developments, Hezbollah parliament member Ali Fayyad asserted, “Lebanon has not accepted and will not accept normalization with the Israelis. Israel is an enemy that contradicts Lebanon’s existence, identity, and interests.” Fayyad underscored that the resistance movement represents a significant portion of the population, making it an unavoidable factor in the equation. Additionally, he cautioned relevant actors to refrain from any miscalculations regarding Hezbollah’s position, particularly following the bloc’s loss of parliamentary majority in the recent elections.
In conclusion, the discourse surrounding potential normalization between Lebanon and Israel has ignited significant trepidation within Hezbollah and its supporting factions. Official statements emphasize that Lebanon will not engage in normalization without a broad consensus, despite the apparent advantageous balance of power for Israel. The pro-Iranian coalition still retains strategic options and intends to uphold the Arab position in discussions on peace, aligning its objectives against normalization with Israeli interests.
Original Source: www.israelhayom.com
